Upcoming Fixtures
102 remaining games. Each row shows the most-likely scoreline and the win / draw / loss split. Tap one for the full head-to-head.
Orlando Pride, ranked 10th with a 54% win probability, are set to face Racing Louisville FC, ranked 15th with a 26% chance of victory. With a 9-point lead in the standings, the Pride are expected to secure a 1-0 win, thanks to their higher expected goals (1.75 vs. 1.13 for Louisville).
New York Gotham FC, sitting atop the standings with a 41% win probability, is expected to narrowly beat San Diego Wave FC, who are traveling to the East Coast. The model projects a low-scoring game with Gotham FC scoring 1.20 goals and Wave FC scoring 1.07. The points gap between the two teams, a mere 5 points, adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup, with Gotham FC likely to capitalize on their home-field advantage and strong form to secure a narrow victory.
Utah Royals FC, currently 13 points ahead of Denver Summit FC, are expected to win this matchup by a score of 1-0. The Royals' higher points gap and recent winning streak provide a significant advantage, as the Summit struggles to keep pace. Despite the Summit's 41% win probability, the Royals' 36% win probability and 1.49 expected goals suggest a tight and competitive game.
Washington Spirit are slight favorites at 46 percent to win their upcoming match against North Carolina Courage. The Spirit are ranked 2 of 16 in the standings, 12 points ahead of the Courage, who are ranked 7 of 16. The Spirit are 11-3-4 in 18 games, while the Courage are 7-3-6 in 16 games. The Spirit have 26 goals for and 13 against, and the Courage have 26 goals for and 23 against. The Spirit's model expects 1.52 goals, while the Courage's model expects 1.23 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Washington Spirit 1 - 0 North Carolina Courage.
Kansas City is favored by a significant 10-point margin in the standings, and the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with the Current likely to win 24 percent of the time. Despite the Dash's strong form, the gap in points between the two teams should give Kansas City the upper hand.
Portland Thorns FC, currently ranked 6th, are expected to secure their 6th-place spot with a win against Boston Legacy FC, who are ranked 12th. Portland's 28 points, 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in 18 games, and their 28 goals for and 25 against, are significantly better than Boston's 20 points, 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in 18 games, and their 19 goals for and 24 against. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Boston Legacy FC likely scoring 1.54 goals and Portland Thorns FC scoring 1.31 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Boston Legacy FC 1 - 0 Portland Thorns FC.
Bay FC are favored to win at 49 percent, according to the model, thanks in large part to their 1.54 expected goals and 6-point lead in the standings. The Stars' 1.15 expected goals and 12 points in 17 games are much lower, and the model predicts a 0-1 Bay FC victory.
Seattle Reign FC, currently ranked 9th in the league, is facing off against Angel City FC, who are ranked 8th. Both teams are tied on 23 points, making this a crucial match for both. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC slightly favored at 41%. Angel City FC, with a higher expected goals of 1.36, could potentially push the scoreline in their favor. Despite their higher expected goals, Seattle Reign FC's recent form and their ability to score goals make them a formidable opponent. This match will be a true test of both teams' skills and determination.
NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16 and 8 points ahead in the standings, are expected to face a challenging opponent in Kansas City Current, ranked 5 of 16. Despite the slight favorites at 44 percent, the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC expected to score 1.32 goals and Kansas City Current expected to score 1.11. The matchup will be a test of form and strategy as both teams aim to secure their positions in the standings.
San Diego Wave FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win against Denver Summit FC. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game, with San Diego Wave FC scoring 1.89 goals and Denver Summit FC scoring 1.07 goals. The home team is ranked 4 of 16, 32 pts, 10W-2D-6L in 18 games, 24 for / 19 against, while the away team is ranked 11 of 16, 20 pts, 5W-5D-6L in 16 games, 22 for / 21 against. San Diego Wave FC are 12 points ahead of Denver Summit FC in the standings.
Seattle Reign FC are 11 points ahead of the Chicago Stars FC in the standings, and the model predicts that they will win 66 percent of the time. The model also predicts that the Seattle Reign FC will score 2.06 goals and the Chicago Stars FC will score 0.90 goals. The model's most likely scoreline is Seattle Reign FC 1 - 0 Chicago Stars FC.
Utah Royals FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, despite Bay FC's strong form and 15-point lead in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC scoring 1.83 goals and Bay FC 0.94, suggesting a competitive encounter between the top-ranked team and the fourteenth-place team.
Boston Legacy FC, with a 6-point lead over Racing Louisville FC, are slight favorites in this upcoming fixture. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Boston Legacy FC likely to edge out Racing Louisville FC. Despite their current form, Racing Louisville FC have shown resilience and could still surprise their opponents on the field.
Portland Thorns FC, ranked 6th in the standings, are expected to edge out Orlando Pride, ranked 10th, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. The Thorns, with 28 points, are 5 points ahead of the Pride, who have 23 points. With 1.48 expected goals for Portland and 1.22 for Orlando, the Thorns are favored by the model, which predicts a 45% win probability for Portland and a 33% win probability for Orlando.
North Carolina Courage are ranked 7th in the league, 5 points ahead of Houston Dash. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game, with the home team expected to score 2.26 goals and the away team 1.01. The model's most-likely scoreline is 1-0, favoring the Courage.
Angel City FC, ranked 8th, are facing off against Washington Spirit, ranked 2nd, in a crucial clash that could determine the standings. Despite the 13-point gap, the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Washington Spirit slightly favored at 41 percent. The model's most-likely scoreline suggests a narrow victory for the Spirit, but Angel City FC should not be underestimated.
Seattle Reign FC are 9 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings. Despite their slight advantage, the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game. The Reign should win 41 percent of the time, with the model projecting a 1.44 expected goals for Seattle Reign FC and a 1.51 expected goals for Racing Louisville FC. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Racing Louisville FC 1 - 0 Seattle Reign FC.
Houston Dash, currently ranked 13th in the standings, are 7 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC, who are ranked 16th. The Dash, with a strong record of 5 wins and 4 draws in their last 17 games, are favored by the model at 57%, while the Stars are expected to lose 1.03 goals on average. The model's most-likely scoreline is a 1-0 win for the Dash, who should capitalize on their superior form and home-field advantage to secure their place at the top of the league.
Kansas City Current are slightly favored at 60% to win, and the model expects a tight, low-scoring game. Kansas City Current have a slight edge in expected goals (1.86 vs. 0.96), but the points gap is significant enough to give Seattle Reign FC a fighting chance.
North Carolina Courage are 4 points ahead of Boston Legacy FC in the standings, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the home team favored to win 56% of the time. The model expects the Courage to score 1.92 goals and the Legacy FC to score 1.21 goals. With the Courage leading 1 - 0 in the model's single most-likely scoreline, the home team should be able to capitalize on their superior form and home advantage to secure a narrow victory.
Portland Thorns FC are slight favorites at 46 percent to win this matchup, despite Denver Summit FC being ranked 11th in the league. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Portland Thorns FC expected to score 1.75 goals and Denver Summit FC expected to score 1.47. Portland Thorns FC are 8 points ahead of Denver Summit FC in the standings, so they should be able to capitalize on this advantage and secure a narrow victory.
The Model predicts a tight, low-scoring game between the Stars and the FC. The Model projects the Stars to score 1.29 goals and the FC to score 1.73 goals. The Model expects the FC to win the game 50% of the time, which is 2 points more than the Stars. The FC are 2 points ahead of the Stars in the standings. The FC have a better goal differential than the Stars, which is 21 for / 34 against compared to 9 for / 33 against.
Washington Spirit are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this matchup, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams. Orlando Pride are trailing 13 points in the standings, and the Spirit are ranked 2 of 16, 36 pts, 11W-3D-4L in 18 games, 26 for / 13 against. The Spirit are expected to score 1.43 goals, while Orlando Pride are projected to score 0.91. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Washington Spirit 1 - 0 Orlando Pride.
Bay FC are favored to win this game, with a 49% chance of victory. Houston Dash are a slight underdog at 30%, with a 21% chance of winning. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Bay FC scoring 1.55 goals and Houston Dash scoring 1.14 goals. The points gap between the two teams is exactly 1 point, and Bay FC are ranked 14th in the standings and Houston Dash are ranked 13th. Bay FC are in better form than Houston Dash, with a 5-3-9 record and 18 goals for and 24 against, while Houston Dash have a 5-4-8 record and 19 goals for and 25 against. The model's most-likely scoreline is Bay FC 1-0 Houston Dash.
NJ/NY Gotham FC should win this match 39 percent of the time, according to the model. NJ/NY Gotham FC are 14 points ahead of Angel City FC in the standings, and have won 11 of their 18 games. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with NJ/NY Gotham FC scoring 1.22 expected goals and Angel City FC scoring 1.19 expected goals.
Gotham FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, but the Thorns are in form and could challenge. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Gotham FC expected to score 1.65 goals and the Thorns 0.99.
San Diego Wave FC are slight favorites to beat Racing Louisville FC in their upcoming matchup. San Diego Wave FC are 18 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with San Diego Wave FC scoring 2.12 goals and Racing Louisville FC scoring 0.91 goals. San Diego Wave FC are ranked 4 of 16, while Racing Louisville FC are ranked 15 of 16. San Diego Wave FC are 67% likely to win, 17% likely to draw, and 17% likely to lose. San Diego Wave FC have 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in 18 games, while Racing Louisville FC have 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses in 17 games.
The Kansas City Current are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this matchup, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with 1.77 expected goals for the home side and 1.30 for the away side. The model expects the Kansas City Current to win 1-0, as the home team is ranked 5 of 16 in the standings and 5 points ahead of the North Carolina Courage. The home team has 29 points for and 25 against, while the away team has 24 points for and 23 against. The home team is ranked 5 of 16, 29 points, 9W-2D-7L, and 29 for/25 against. The away team is ranked 7 of 16, 24 points, 7W-3D-6L, and 26 for/23 against.
Utah Royals FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, but the model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams. Orlando Pride, ranked 10th, should be able to capitalize on Utah Royals FC's mistakes. Utah Royals FC, ranked 3rd, are 10 points ahead of Orlando Pride in the standings, and their form suggests they are a formidable opponent. Despite this, the model expects a close contest, with Utah Royals FC having a slight edge in expected goals.
Denver Summit FC, currently ranked 11th in the standings, are expected to take a commanding lead over the Chicago Stars FC, who are ranked 16th and have struggled to find form. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with Denver Summit FC likely to win with a score of 2-0. Despite their strong home record, the Stars FC will face a difficult challenge as they travel to face the Summit FC.
Bay FC visits Washington Spirit in a must-win for the away side. Washington Spirit are 18 points ahead of Bay FC in the standings. The model predicts that Bay FC will win 21% of their games. The model predicts that Bay FC will score 0.85 goals. The model predicts that the game will be a tight, low-scoring affair with Washington Spirit scoring 1.68 goals. Bay FC could win this game, but it is unlikely.
Seattle Reign FC, ranked 9th in the standings, are favored to win their upcoming match against Houston Dash, ranked 13th, with a 54% win probability. The home team has a slight edge in form, boasting a 20-21 goal difference compared to the Dash's 19-25. Despite the gap of 4 points in the standings, the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC scoring 1.69 goals and Houston Dash scoring 1.08.
Utah Royals FC, ranked 3rd in the NWSL standings, are set to face Boston Legacy FC, who are ranked 12th. Utah Royals FC are 13 points ahead of Boston Legacy FC in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC expected to win 54% of the time, draw 20%, and Boston Legacy FC expected to win 26% of the time. Utah Royals FC have the advantage in form, having won 10 out of 18 games compared to Boston Legacy FC's 5 wins in 18 games. Utah Royals FC's expected goals are 1.67, while Boston Legacy FC's expected goals are 1.07. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Utah Royals FC 1-0 Boston Legacy FC.
Bay FC, ranked 14th, is set to travel to Kansas City Current, ranked 5th, in a pivotal fixture. Despite their slight favoritism, Bay FC's current form and the points gap of 11 points between the two sides suggest a tight contest. The model projects a low-scoring game with Kansas City Current as the most likely victors, but Bay FC will certainly be in contention.
NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16 and 17 points ahead of Denver Summit FC, are expected to dominate the match. Despite being ranked 11 of 16 and having a lower expected goals score of 1.23 compared to Gotham FC's 1.28, the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game. Gotham FC's superior form and points gap give them a slight edge, but Denver Summit FC is not to be underestimated.
North Carolina Courage are favored to win this matchup, as they are 12 points ahead of the Chicago Stars FC. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with North Carolina Courage scoring 2.28 goals and the Stars FC scoring 1.04 goals. The Stars FC, ranked 16th, are currently in a tough position, having lost 13 of their last 17 games. Meanwhile, the Courage, ranked 7th, are on a winning streak and are looking to maintain their lead in the standings.
Portland Thorns FC and Washington Spirit are set to face off in a thrilling matchup, with the Spirit having a slight edge in favor based on their 41% win probability. Despite their 8-point lead in the standings, the Thorns FC have shown resilience, securing 8 wins and 4 draws in their last 18 games. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Spirit expected to score 1.32 goals, while the Thorns FC are predicted to score 1.24. The potential outcome of this match will certainly be closely watched, with both teams vying for a crucial point in the standings.
Orlando Pride are slight favorites as they face Houston Dash. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game. Orlando Pride are 41 percent favored, while Houston Dash are 24 percent favored. Orlando Pride are ranked 10 of 16 and Houston Dash are ranked 13 of 16. Orlando Pride are 4 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings.
San Diego Wave FC, ranked 4 of 16, are 9 points ahead of Seattle Reign FC, ranked 9 of 16. Wave FC has won 10 games, drawn 2, and lost 6, while Reign FC has won 7, drawn 2, and lost 7. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Wave FC scoring 1.48 goals and Reign FC scoring 1.08 goals. The model expects Wave FC to win 49% of the time, Reign FC to win 30%, and the game to end in a draw 22% of the time.
NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16 and sitting 23 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC, are expected to win 51% of the time according to the model. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC scoring 1.60 expected goals and Racing Louisville FC scoring 1.09 expected goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC's superior points lead and their consistent form position them as slight favorites at 41% to Racing Louisville FC's 28%.
Kansas City Current are the slight favorites at 56 percent, thanks to their 29 points and 9 wins in 18 games, compared to Orlando Pride's 23 points and 7 wins. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Kansas City Current scoring 1.67 goals and Orlando Pride scoring 0.95, suggesting a close contest despite the 6-point points gap in the standings.
Angel City FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this matchup, but the Denver Summit FC model expects a tight, low-scoring game. The host is ranked 8 of 16 and has 23 points, 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses. The away team, ranked 11 of 16, has 20 points, 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. The points gap between the two teams is 3 points, with Angel City FC ahead. The model predicts that Angel City FC will score 1.74 goals and Denver Summit FC will score 1.32 goals, with the model's most-likely scoreline being Angel City FC 1 - 0 Denver Summit FC.
San Diego Wave FC, ranked 4th in the standings, are slight favorites at 41 percent to win against the North Carolina Courage, ranked 7th. The Wave FC have a 10-2-6 record in 18 games, with 24 goals for and 19 against. The Courage, ranked 7th, have a 7-3-6 record in 16 games, with 26 goals for and 23 against. The Wave FC should win 1-0, according to the model's projections.
Bay FC are slightly favored at 30% to win this game, but the model expects a tight, low-scoring contest between the two teams. Seattle Reign FC are 5 points ahead in the standings, so the home team should have an advantage. The model projects a Seattle Reign FC 1 - 0 Bay FC scoreline, but the game could go either way.
Utah Royals FC are 14 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game. The model expects Utah Royals FC to win 49%, draw 20%, and Houston Dash to win 31%. Utah Royals FC are ranked 3 of 16, and Houston Dash is ranked 13 of 16. Utah Royals FC have won 10 games in 18, and Houston Dash have won 5 games in 17. Utah Royals FC have scored 31 goals, and Houston Dash have scored 19 goals. Utah Royals FC have conceded 19 goals, and Houston Dash have conceded 25 goals. Utah Royals FC are the slight favorites at 41 percent.
Washington Spirit are slight favorites at 53 percent to win this match against Boston Legacy FC. The Spirit, ranked 2 of 16, should win 1.54 expected goals to Legacy's 0.96 expected goals. The Spirit, who are 16 points ahead of Legacy in the standings, could win by as little as one goal.
Portland Thorns FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this matchup, as the model projects a tight, low-scoring game. The Thorns, ranked 6 of 16, are 16 points ahead of the Stars, ranked 16 of 16. The Stars, with 12 points in 17 games, are struggling to find their rhythm. The Thorns have scored 28 goals in 18 games, while the Stars have scored only 9. The Stars' goal difference of -24 is the worst in the league, while the Thorns' goal difference of +3 is the best.
Bay FC are slightly favored at 41 percent to win this matchup, but Denver Summit FC, who are ranked 11th in the standings and have a 2-point advantage over Bay FC, are expected to come out on top. Bay FC, ranked 14th and with a 9-loss record, are expected to score just 1.02 goals, while Denver Summit FC, ranked 11th and with a 5-win-5-loss record, are expected to score 1.87 goals. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams, with Bay FC being the slight favorites.
Angel City FC, ranked 8th, is favored to win against Seattle Reign FC, ranked 9th, with a 52% win probability. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Angel City FC scoring 1.64 goals and Seattle Reign FC scoring 1.10 goals. The teams are level on points, but Angel City FC's higher expected goals suggest a slight edge.
Portland Thorns FC are expected to edge out Orlando Pride, who are slightly favored at 45% to win. Despite the 5-point gap between the two teams, the Thorns' strong form and recent performances suggest they could secure a narrow victory. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Thorns likely to capitalize on their home advantage and defensive solidity to take the win.
NJ/NY Gotham FC could take advantage of the Courage's inconsistency to leap ahead in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams. NJ/NY Gotham FC are slight favorites at 43 percent. The model expects NJ/NY Gotham FC to score 1.28 goals and the Courage to score 1.44 goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC could take advantage of the Courage's inconsistency to leap ahead in the standings. NJ/NY Gotham FC are 13 points ahead of North Carolina Courage in the standings.
Seattle Reign FC are slight favorites at 41 percent, but Denver Summit FC are ranked 11 of 16 and have a 3-point gap in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC expected to score 1.11 goals and Denver Summit FC expected to score 1.77 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Denver Summit FC 1 - 0 Seattle Reign FC.
Boston Legacy FC, ranked 12th, are poised to take the lead in the standings with a win over Houston Dash, who are ranked 13th. Legacy FC have the advantage of being 1 point ahead in the standings and have a slightly higher win probability of 56%. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game, with Legacy FC likely to take the lead with a 1-0 victory.
Washington Spirit are slight favorites at 63% for the win, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game. Ranked 2 of 16, the Spirit have 24 points ahead of the Stars, who are ranked 16 of 16. The Stars' 12 points and 4W-0D-13L form suggest a struggle to score, while the Spirit's 36 points and 11W-3D-4L form indicate a more consistent and higher-scoring approach. The model's most-likely scoreline is 0-1, favoring the Spirit's superior attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
Bay FC should have the upper hand in this upcoming fixture, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game. Despite Racing Louisville FC being slightly favored, Bay FC's 46% win probability and 1.62 expected goals make them the clear favorites. Bay FC are currently 4 points ahead in the standings, and their recent form, with 5 wins in their last 17 games, further solidifies their advantage.
Utah Royals FC, ranked 3rd in the standings, are slight favorites at 41% to win, thanks to their superior form and a 10-point lead over Angel City FC, who are 8th. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC likely scoring 1.56 goals and Angel City FC 1.14, suggesting a defensive battle with limited opportunities for either side. Despite Angel City FC's recent form, Utah Royals FC's consistent performances make them the expected winners in this matchup.
The Wave FC are slight favorites in the game against Louisville FC. The Wave FC are 54% likely to win the game, while Louisville FC are 26% likely to win. The Wave FC have a 18 point lead in the standings, and the Wave FC have scored 24 goals and conceded 19 goals in their last 18 games. The Wave FC have a 1.73 expected goal per game and Louisville FC have a 1.10 expected goal per game. The Wave FC are expected to score 1 goal and Louisville FC are expected to score 0.5 goals in the game. The Wave FC are favored to win the game by a margin of 0.5 goals.
NJ/NY Gotham FC, sitting comfortably atop the NWSL standings with a commanding 25-point lead, are set to face off against the struggling Chicago Stars FC. Despite their current standings, Gotham FC's impressive form, with a 11-4-3 record and a goal difference of +11, suggests they are the slight favorites at 41%. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game, with Gotham FC expected to dominate the match, scoring 2.28 goals while Chicago Stars FC are projected to score just 0.65. Gotham FC's strong defensive record and tactical acumen should see them edge out the Stars FC in this crucial fixture.
Seattle Reign FC, ranked 9th of 16, are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, while Boston Legacy FC, ranked 12th, have a 3-point advantage in the standings. Despite their 20 points to 19, the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC expected to score 1.43 goals and Boston Legacy FC 1.28 goals. The match is a crucial one for Seattle, who are aiming to maintain their top spot, while Boston Legacy FC looks to secure their position and avoid relegation. The match is scheduled for September 25th.
Model predicts Kansas City Current to win 57%, with Denver Summit FC trailing 24%. The standings show Kansas City with a 9-point lead, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Kansas City scoring 1.97 goals and Denver Summit FC 1.18. The matchup promises an interesting clash of styles and strengths.
Washington Spirit are favored to win this match 41 percent of the time, according to the model. The Spirit are ranked 2 of 16, while Angel City FC are ranked 8 of 16. The Spirit are 13 points ahead of Angel City FC in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Spirit expected to score 1.43 goals and Angel City FC expected to score 1.02 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-0 victory for the Spirit.
Portland Thorns FC are 9 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings, and the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game. Portland Thorns FC are slightly favorites at 41 percent, while Houston Dash are predicted to win 23 percent. Portland Thorns FC should face Houston Dash at home, and the model projects a Portland Thorns FC 1 - 0 Houston Dash scoreline.
Bay FC, ranked 14th in the league, is facing a 5-point deficit to Orlando Pride, who are ranked 10th. Despite Bay FC's strong form in their recent games, the model projects a tight and low-scoring game, with Orlando Pride having a slight edge in expected goals. The model predicts that Bay FC will likely lose the game with a score of 0-1, as Orlando Pride are expected to dominate the match with their strong offense and defense.
Utah Royals FC, ranked 3 of 16 and sitting 9 points ahead of North Carolina Courage, are the slight favorites at 41 percent. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC scoring 1.66 goals and North Carolina Courage scoring 1.39 goals. Utah Royals FC are favored because they have a better record and a larger points gap in the standings.
San Diego Wave FC are favored to win at 45% as they face a struggling Orlando Pride. The Wave FC are ranked 4 of 16, and Orlando Pride are ranked 10 of 16. San Diego Wave FC are 9 points ahead of Orlando Pride in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with San Diego Wave FC scoring 1.33 goals and Orlando Pride scoring 1.07 goals. The model's most-likely scoreline is Orlando Pride 0 - 1 San Diego Wave FC.
North Carolina Courage are favored to win this matchup because they are slightly favored at 45 percent. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with North Carolina Courage scoring 1.65 goals and Seattle Reign FC scoring 1.42 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Seattle Reign FC 0 - 1 North Carolina Courage.
Utah Royals FC are 19 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game, with Utah Royals FC projected to win 46%, draw 20%, and Racing Louisville FC win 34%. Utah Royals FC's 10-game winning streak and 1.71 expected goals make them slight favorites at 41 percent.
Kansas City Current are slight favorites at 41 percent to face Bay FC on October 3rd. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Kansas City Current scoring 1.96 goals to Bay FC's 0.88 goals.
Portland Thorns FC, ranked 6th, are expected to win 47% of the time and are favored by the model. Portland Thorns FC should win 1-0, according to the model, due to their 8-point lead in the standings. Boston Legacy FC, ranked 12th, should win 33% of the time and face a challenging task.
NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16, are the slight favorites at 41 percent to win against Angel City FC, ranked 8 of 16. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC scoring 1.48 goals and Angel City FC scoring 0.99 goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC are 14 points ahead of Angel City FC in the standings.
Denver Summit FC are favored to win this matchup as they are 8 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC in the standings and the model predicts they will score 2.04 goals to Chicago's 1.15. Chicago Stars FC are ranked 16th and have lost 13 of their last 17 games, while Denver Summit FC are ranked 11th and have won 5 of their last 16 games. The model expects Denver Summit FC to win 23 percent of the time, draw 18 percent of the time, and Chicago Stars FC to win 60 percent of the time.
Washington Spirit are 17 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with Spirit scoring 1.50 expected goals and Dash scoring 0.97 expected goals. The model expects a 52% chance for Spirit to win, a 27% chance for Dash to win, and a 22% chance for a draw.
NJ/NY Gotham FC are slight favorites to edge out Washington Spirit in tight contest. NJ/NY Gotham FC are 1 point ahead of Washington Spirit in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game. NJ/NY Gotham FC should win 35% of the time, Washington Spirit 41%, and draws 25%. Washington Spirit's 26 goals for and 13 against are significantly more than NJ/NY Gotham FC's 23 goals for and 12 against, and NJ/NY Gotham FC's 36 points are 1 point more than Washington Spirit's 35 points.
Kansas City Current is favored by the model at 41% to win, while Utah Royals FC have a 22% chance of drawing. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC scoring 1.39 goals and Kansas City Current scoring 1.31 goals. Utah Royals FC are 4 points ahead of Kansas City Current in the standings.
San Diego Wave FC are 8 points ahead of North Carolina Courage in the standings, and the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game. The Wave should be favored, with a 38 percent chance of victory. The model projects a scoreline of 1 - 0 San Diego Wave FC.
Denver Summit FC are 41 percent favored to win their final match of the season against Angel City FC. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Angel City FC likely winning 3-0. Angel City FC are 3 points ahead of Denver Summit FC in the standings and should be favored to win their final match of the season against Denver Summit FC.
The Orlando Pride are favored to edge the Houston Dash in their 2026 NWSL matchup, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game. The Pride, ranked 10th in the standings, are four points ahead of the Dash, who are ranked 13th. Despite the Pride's slight advantage in points, the Dash's 1.16 expected goals suggest they could still put up a fight, while the Pride's 1.39 expected goals indicate a higher likelihood of scoring. The model's most-likely scoreline of 0-1 Orlando Pride suggests that the Pride's superior form and scoring potential could prove decisive in this upcoming fixture.
Bay FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, but Portland Thorns FC are 10 points ahead of their hosts in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Bay FC expected to have 1.36 expected goals and Portland Thorns FC expected to have 1.45. Portland Thorns FC should win, but Bay FC could still make a comeback.
Chicago Stars FC are slight favorites at 41 percent, but the Seattle Reign FC are 11 points ahead in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC winning 53 percent of the time. Seattle Reign FC have the edge in form, having scored 20 goals in 16 games compared to Chicago Stars FC's 9 goals in 17 games.
Houston Dash are slightly favorites at 45 percent, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams. The home team, Chicago Stars FC, is ranked 16th of 16 with 12 points, and the away team, Houston Dash, is ranked 13th of 16 with 19 points. Houston Dash are 7 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC in the standings. The model expects Houston Dash to score 1.47 goals and Chicago Stars FC to score 1.24 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 0-1 Houston Dash victory.
Utah Royals FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win the 2026-10-23 fixture against Seattle Reign FC. Utah Royals FC are 10 points ahead of Seattle Reign FC in the standings, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC expected to score 1.74 goals and Seattle Reign FC expected to score 1.02 goals. Utah Royals FC's 33 points in 18 games are significantly higher than Seattle Reign FC's 23 points in 16 games, and their 10W-3D-5L form is much stronger than Seattle Reign FC's 7W-2D-7L form.
Portland Thorns FC, ranked 6th in the standings with a 28-point lead over North Carolina Courage, are poised to face off on October 23rd. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Portland Thorns FC expected to score 1.57 goals and North Carolina Courage 1.65. Despite their slight favorites status, both teams have shown strong form in recent weeks, and a draw is a plausible outcome.
Denver Summit FC, ranked 11th in the standings, are expected to edge out Racing Louisville FC, ranked 15th, with a 61% win probability. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Denver Summit FC scoring 2.11 goals and Racing Louisville FC scoring 1.15 goals. The home team should capitalize on their higher standing and form to secure a narrow victory.
Angel City FC, ranked 8th of 16 and 5 points ahead of Bay FC, are expected to win the upcoming match with a 56% probability, according to the model. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Angel City FC scoring 1.74 goals and Bay FC scoring 1.01 goals. Bay FC is in a better form than Angel City FC, with a 5-3-9 record compared to the latter's 7-2-7 record. Despite this, Angel City FC's higher points total and superior record give them a slight edge in this matchup.
NJ/NY Gotham FC are 14 points ahead of Orlando Pride in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game. NJ/NY Gotham FC are slightly favorites at 42 percent. NJ/NY Gotham FC should win the game, according to the model. The model expects NJ/NY Gotham FC to win 1.22 expected goals and Orlando Pride to win 1.06 expected goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is NJ/NY Gotham FC 1 - 0 Orlando Pride.
Model predicts a tight, low-scoring game as Kansas City Current, ranked 5th, face Washington Spirit, the league's top team, who are 7 points ahead in the standings. Kansas City's slight 48% win probability is fueled by their recent form and the Spirit's struggles on the road. The model projects a Kansas City 1-0 victory, highlighting the contrast between the teams' performances and standings.
San Diego Wave FC, currently ranked 4th in the standings, are expected to win 58% of the time against Boston Legacy FC, who are ranked 12th. Wave FC's 24 goals for and 19 goals against record suggests they are a stronger team, and the 12-point points gap between the two teams should give Wave FC a slight advantage. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Wave FC likely scoring 1.72 goals and Legacy FC scoring 0.93 goals.
Angel City FC, ranked 8th and 3 points ahead of Boston Legacy FC, will face off at home on November 1st. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Angel City FC likely to edge out their rivals, with a 50% chance of victory and a single most-likely scoreline of 1-0. Boston Legacy FC, ranked 12th, will have to rely on their strong home form to avoid a defeat.
Bay FC, ranked 14th, are slight favorites against San Diego Wave FC, ranked 4th, with a 26% win probability. Despite the points gap of 14, the model expects a tight, low-scoring game with Bay FC likely scoring 0 and San Diego Wave FC 1. The Wave FC's strong form and superior expected goals suggest they are the stronger side, but Bay FC's recent performances could still cause an upset.
NJ/NY Gotham FC are expected to win 52% of this upcoming fixture. The home team is 4 points ahead in the standings, and the model projects a low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC scoring 1.57 goals and Utah Royals FC scoring 1.04 goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC are slightly favorites at 41%.
Portland Thorns FC, the 6th-ranked team in the league, are expected to edge out Houston Dash, the 13th-ranked team, in a tight, low-scoring game. Portland Thorns FC are 9 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings, and the model projects a 1.56 expected goals for Portland Thorns FC and a 1.30 expected goals for Houston Dash. Portland Thorns FC are projected to win with a 46% probability, draw with a 21% probability, and Houston Dash are projected to win with a 34% probability.
North Carolina Courage are slight favorites at 41 percent to claim victory in a tight clash with Denver Summit FC. Ranked 7 of 16, North Carolina Courage are 4 points ahead of their opponents in the standings and are expected to score 2.10 goals to Denver Summit FC's 1.40 goals. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams.
Kansas City Current are the slight favorites at 54 percent, according to the model, but Racing Louisville FC should be able to put up a fight. Kansas City Current are 15 points ahead in the standings, but Racing Louisville FC are still ranked 15th, so they have a chance to win at home. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Kansas City Current scoring 1.83 goals and Racing Louisville FC scoring 1.21 goals. The projected scoreline is Kansas City Current 1 - 0 Racing Louisville FC.
Seattle Reign FC, ranked 9th in the NWSL standings, are facing off against Orlando Pride, who hold the 10th spot. Both teams are tied on 23 points, making this a crucial encounter for each. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC being slight favorites at 42%, drawing 22%, and Orlando Pride winning 36%. Despite their similar standings, Seattle Reign FC's slight edge in expected goals (1.33 vs. 1.22) suggests they might have a slight advantage in this matchup.
Washington Spirit are slight favorites at 41 percent to win their upcoming fixture against the struggling Chicago Stars FC, who are 24 points behind. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Washington Spirit scoring 2.21 goals and the Stars FC scoring 0.67. The Stars FC should be cautious, as their form and standing show they are in need of a boost to avoid further relegation. Washington Spirit, ranked 2 of 16, have been on a strong run, while the Stars FC have been struggling to find form. Washington Spirit's superior standings and form make them the clear favorites to win this match.



