2026 Playoff Odds
20,000 simulated seasons from today's table and power ratings. Top 8 make the playoffs.
| # | Club | Proj Pts | Playoff% | Top 4% | Shield% | Title% | Finish distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Washington Spirit | 56.4 | 99.8% | 91.0% | 38.8% | 16.8% | |
| 2 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC | 56.4 | 99.7% | 89.3% | 35.7% | 18.3% | |
| 3 |  San Diego Wave FC | 52.7 | 97.7% | 68.5% | 11.5% | 18.3% | |
| 4 |  Utah Royals FC | 51.2 | 96.3% | 58.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | |
| 5 |  Kansas City Current | 49.5 | 92.8% | 42.0% | 3.9% | 13.8% | |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns FC | 46.0 | 75.2% | 16.2% | 0.7% | 4.8% | |
| 7 |  North Carolina Courage | 45.5 | 71.5% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 7.4% | |
| 8 |  Angel City FC | 42.6 | 50.8% | 6.9% | 0.3% | 3.6% | |
| 9 |  Seattle Reign FC | 42.3 | 43.3% | 4.9% | 0.1% | 1.9% | |
| 10 |  Denver Summit FC | 41.4 | 39.9% | 4.1% | 0.1% | 2.5% | |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride | 39.6 | 22.4% | 1.2% | <0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 12 |  Boston Legacy FC | 35.5 | 5.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | |
| 13 |  Houston Dash | 33.5 | 2.6% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 |  Bay FC | 32.8 | 2.0% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville FC | 28.7 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | <0.1% | |
| 16 |  Chicago Stars FC | 22.4 | — | — | — | — |
playoff positions (1–8)outside the lineheat = P(finishing in that position)
Odds inherit the power ratings. A club the model rates above its current points projects upward relative to the live table, and vice versa.
Playoff-odds rank progression
rank 1–16 · by week · hover a line